Processors Predict Sustained Growth in 2018
By Dianna Brodine, managing editor
In many ways, 2017 has been a year of growth for the plastics injection molding industry and the US as a whole. The S&P 500 is up more than 20 percent since Q3 20161, unemployment is at its lowest since 20002 and manufacturing order activity reached a 13-year high in September3. Third-quarter 2017 merger and acquisition activity is up 60 percent year-over-year4, the global market for plastics used in medical applications is expected to increase by nearly five billion pounds in the next five years5, the global electronics component market is expecting growth of nearly two billion pounds over the same time period6 and automotive programs are launching at a rate that has molders scrambling to keep up, with the estimated 2018 automotive vendor tooling spend predicted to reach a record high of $11 billion.7
However, some of the old worries remain and new ones have emerged. Hiring and retaining qualified employees is a struggle that no one seems to have the answer for in industrial trades. China continues to pressure US manufacturers, and now Mexico is more of a concern than it has historically been, particularly in the automotive and appliance sectors. Natural disasters, in the form of wildfires and hurricanes, have not only thrown shipping and transportation into disarray, but also have impacted the availability of resins.
Despite the uncertainty brought about by supply chains, end-use market swings and as of this writing potentially significant changes to the US tax code US plastics processors are looking to 2018 with optimism. In this article, processors and suppliers to the industry share their perspectives on whats in store for the coming year.
Success is often accompanied by growing pains. As orders increase, plastics processors face a new list of operational concerns that must be addressed to sustain growth.
Blow Molded Specialties (BMS) in Pawtucket, Rhode Island, is an extrusion blow molder focused on two business segments specialty products (primarily in medical markets) and custom bottles (a blend of medical and personal care). The company grew about 20 percent in 2017, stacked on top of a 35 percent growth in 2016. While Tom Boyd, president of BMS, believes growth will slow in 2018, he still is anticipating an increase of about 15 percent. While our growth is exciting, adapting to the new business can be difficult. There are new things to learn, and the question becomes, Can we learn fast enough?
Boyd is engaged in an effort to be sure he is, as president, working on what he calls the right things. In his case, that means hiring employees to remove tasks from his plate that can be done more effectively elsewhere. In November of 2016, I hired a controller, and in June of this year, I hired a director of engineering, he said. Now, Im more available to oversee the planning, which is where my focus should be.
Precision Molded Plastics, Upland, California, has seen tremendous growth in 2017 a 36 percent increase on the top line following 14 years of sustained increases in profitability. The companys business model calls for a diverse customer and market mix no more than 10 percent with any customer and no more than 20 percent in any broad industry group and its production model leads to constant line changes, mold changes and product changes.
My biggest concern right now is managing growth without sacrificing quality or margin, explained David VanVoorhis, CEO. Every Friday, we have a 90-minute meeting, and we strictly focus on how we can improve the business. Its not an operational meeting we focus on how to be a better company and better service our customers. We have to be very discretionary about what we take on to make sure its in alignment with our business objectives.
Months of upward-moving arrows on economic charts eventually will be followed by a downturn, and Chuck Sholtis, CEO of Plastic Molding Technology, Inc. (PMT) in El Paso, Texas, is preparing. The custom molding company works within four markets automotive, electrical, medical and industrial but automotive is dominant, even though the volume is spread across several customers.
Weve enjoyed positive growth over the last five years, and were looking to sustain that going into 2018, Sholtis said, but were due for a cyclical adjustment, driven by the macro economy. My philosophy when running a business is hope for the best, but prepare for the worst, so our biggest challenge will be market diversification. Changes in sales strategies and the hiring of a dedicated sales force will assist in the effort.
Al Fosco, global marketing manager for Frigel, echoed the caution required by a potential market adjustment. Our business is booming right now, and thats going to bleed into 2018 because of a backlog of large systems. Ninety-five percent of the bump has been in the plastics industry, and were looking at a steadily increasing market, but a lot of that has to do with new plants or plant expansions in automotive. With automotive expected to be flat next year (but at a continuing high level), everything needs to be viewed with cautious optimism.
Addressing the skills gap
Anticipation of new staff members shines a spotlight on the second challenge many processors will experience in 2018 namely, the manufacturing skills gap. Growing our team hiring new people and training our current employees will be a priority, said Sholtis. Well accomplish that through an apprenticeship program and the Paulson training system we reinvested in this year. That will complement the training grant we received through the state of Texas, and well be prepared to respond and maintain our sustained growth and customer satisfaction.
Polymer Conversions, Inc., an Orchard Park, New York-based injection molding company, also is focused on training its team members. 2017 was the start of a growth period for Polymer Conversions, explained Chief Operating Officer Ben Harp. Specializing in critical-to-life applications across a range of industries, with the majority of its work centered in medical, the company is in the midst of onboarding several new projects. Harp expects those projects to fuel the companys growth into the first half of 2018.
As were talking to clients about new applications and devices, were looking for employees to add to our company, too, he said. We spend time identifying good people, but were also developing the people we have so we can provide a high level of service experience for our customers and build a career path for our employees.
At Polymer Conversions, that means being deliberate about pairing experienced employees with those still learning the industry. Weve always been fortunate because weve had very little employee turnover, Harp explained, but now those longtime employees are starting to retire. As were onboarding people, we want to be sure were showing them the opportunities that are available.
The company also builds the new employee workload slowly. We team them up to job-shadow mentors or senior people in a role, he said. For several months, we may give them a customer or program, but not a full load. Thats by design to make sure they have an opportunity to learn and participate before we expose them to full project management.
Processors arent the only ones with staffing concerns. At AMCO Polymers, an anticipated double-digit growth in the next calendar year equals a need for qualified employees. Its a struggle for everyone in the distribution industry, said Stacy Shelly, regional commercial director-Midwest for AMCO. Our team has to have the ability to provide solutions for our customers. Hiring the right individuals takes time and effort.
VanVoorhis believes culture and a solid benefits package could be the answer. Precision Molded Plastics is in greater Los Angeles, which is such a huge market, he said. We run into the same challenges of finding good people in a super-competitive market, so we have worked to create a culture no one wants to leave. We also have a really good benefits package. Its been over three years since weve had someone who has left the company.
Then, there are operational issues that are common across all businesses and markets. Cash flow is a significant issue for the processors we talk to, said AMCOs Shelly. Their customers and their customers customers are pushing for extended terms, and the processor gets caught in the middle.
Shelly also reiterated a concern he noted in an article published in Plastics Business in 2016: Our North American logistical infrastructure is in dire straits. Before the hurricanes, it was stressed now, its even worse, and that could hold back some of the growth in our industry.
Frigels Fosco mentioned increasing energy costs as a factor in 2018 growth. From the processor standpoint, the newest thing is energy conservancy and, not just conserving energy, but being able to record energy use and know what actual costs are for each segment of business. There are software packages related to the machines that assist with that, and the industry has seen an increase in hybrid machines. Now, auxiliary equipment is moving in that same direction controlled systems that are cloud-based to allow customers to monitor electrical consumption, which will allow processors to pound that down to cost per part.
Anticipating additional growth
Growth in 2017 (and the years prior) has everyone wanting more. Where are processors focusing their efforts?
New markets and expansion of current customer base
At BMS, Boyd is focused on potential growth in the custom bottle segment. Weve got some capacity for high-volume business, he said. Custom bottle has a predictable product timeline, and wed like to add a couple more substantial customers of that nature. To accomplish that, and to assist in other target business acquisitions, Boyd plans to hire a director of sales which will be another transition of job roles from Boyd to a dedicated staff person, as he currently prospects for new customers.
Sholtis is turning PMTs business plans to value-added services that can bring new life to existing customers. We want to do more than just core plastics processing, he said. That might be liquid silicone rubber, vacuum metallizing assembly work or insert molding. Were going to our customers to find out what their needs are so we can fulfill them.
Shelly sees an opportunity for processors with an upswing in reshoring activity and companies that prioritize domestic sourcing. The increased rapid development cycle is setting processors up with an opportunity, he said. Historically, a part and the tool for that part might run for 10 years but today, customers want to redesign and go to market as quickly as possible. Extra margin is available for the processor that is able to react quickly especially the medium-sized processor, like those in MAPP.
Improving internal systems
To meet the growth head on, VanVoorhis is making internal improvements. Were refining our operating systems to support significant growth, he said. In the middle of implementing ISO 9001:2015 standards, we decided to scrap our original ISO program and start over when we realized there were a lot of places we could improve. Were constantly reorganizing the facility, and we have a local lean guru/operational excellence specialist coming in February to consult for six months or so. Were pushing ourselves to see whats possible.
Process improvement also is the focus at Polymer Conversions, driven by the extreme complexity of its molded products. When I first started 15 years ago, tooling lead time was 18 weeks, and only three weeks were reserved for process development and validation, Harp said. Today, many of our medical customers have grown the validation detail required to 15 weeks or more. Were testing the validations across multiple lots and, instead of measuring four to 10 dimensions on a part, were measuring three times that with more complexity and with tighter tolerances.
Project deliverables have expanded from 18 weeks to 30 or more, frustrating customers and staff. We are spending time to see how we can trim that excess validation time, whether thats through advances in metrology to remove potential measurement errors or by streamlining the validation process and customer expectations, he explained.
In 2018, NPE comes to Orlando
Held triennially, NPE2018 will bring an estimated 65,000 plastics professionals and 2,000 exhibiting companies to Orlando, Florida, in May.
Technology upgrades and supplier introductions
NPE has planned pavilions dedicated to both medical plastics and bottles two areas of focus that excite Boyd. I will probably send a team with the expectation that they come away with ideas that will enable us to work smarter. For us, thats what NPE is all about technology. The how to do it is why we attend MAPP events for benchmarking and to learn better ways of running the business. But, NPE is hardware and technology.
Sholtis agreed, saying he would attend and take a team with the objective of learning about the new technologies to complement PMTs ambitious growth plan: Well come up with a laundry list of technology and supply sources to research while we are at NPE, based on what our customers need.
Six to eight Polymer Conversions employees will head to Orlando to see new technologies. NPE is a platform where equipment OEMs want to showcase their developments in service offerings and equipment, and we want to be there to make sure we can bring those to our customers right away, said Harp.
But, we also look at NPE as a way to educate some of our key employees, he continued. Its a place we can send them to really experience the size and scope of the opportunity that exists in plastics that were not just Polymer Conversions, but a part of a strong, healthy industry. We like to send a couple of employees to show them that where theyre at is a good spot.
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